uncertainty-calibration

Evaluate evidence strength and output a Confidence Decision with Uncertainties list.

11|3|Updated Feb 2, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/gqy20/IssueLab --skill uncertainty-calibration
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent▼
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: uncertainty-calibration
Source: https://github.com/gqy20/IssueLab/tree/main/.claude/skills/uncertainty-calibration
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/gqy20/IssueLab --skill uncertainty-calibration

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve?

This skill helps calibrate confidence by evaluating the strength and credibility of supporting evidence, and documenting uncertainty for informed decision-making.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Evidence strength assessment: categorize into high/medium/low with rationale
  • Structured output: Confidence Decision and Uncertainties sections for auditability
  • Use Case: Research reviews, policy analysis, and risk assessment where evidence is partial or conflicting

Quick Start

To use this skill, provide a set of evidence statements and request a confidence assessment based on their strength.

Frequently Asked Questions about uncertainty-calibration

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I calibrate confidence when evaluating conflicting research evidence?▼

Confidence calibration evaluates the strength of supporting evidence and documents uncertainty to inform decision-making. It categorizes evidence into high, medium, or low strength, outputting a structured Confidence Decision and Uncertainties list for research reviews and policy analysis.

What is the best way to document uncertainty for policy analysis?▼

Document uncertainty for policy analysis by generating a structured output that includes a Confidence Decision with its level and rationale, alongside an Uncertainties list. This provides auditable results by evaluating evidence strength in partial or conflicting information scenarios.

How do I assess evidence strength for decision-making tasks?▼

Assess evidence strength for decision-making tasks by providing evidence statements to evaluate, categorizing their credibility into high, medium, or low levels with rationale. This generates a structured Confidence Decision to guide choices involving partial or conflicting information.

Does evidence strength assessment work for risk assessment with partial information?▼

Yes, evidence strength assessment works for risk assessment with partial information by categorizing available evidence into high, medium, or low strength with rationale. It outputs a Confidence Decision and Uncertainties list to manage conflicting information scenarios.

What format does confidence calibration output for auditability?▼

Confidence calibration outputs a structured result formatted for auditability, specifically including a Confidence Decision section with the confidence level and rationale, and an Uncertainties list documenting remaining unknowns.