three-horizons

Classifies portfolio bets into H1, H2, and H3 growth horizons with horizon-appropriate evidence bars.

4|1|Updated Jul 30, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/radarist/structured-analytic-skills --skill three-horizons-radarist
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent▼
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: three-horizons
Source: https://github.com/radarist/structured-analytic-skills/tree/main/skills/three-horizons
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/radarist/structured-analytic-skills --skill three-horizons-radarist

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve? When several investments compete for one budget, teams often judge speculative bets with the same hard-ROI hurdle as core-business extensions, killing future options early or hiding that nothing is being built beyond this year. This Skill applies McKinsey's Three Horizons of Growth framework to tag every bet, assign the evidence bar its horizon deserves, and expose an imbalanced portfolio. ## Core Features & Use Cases - Horizon tagging: Classifies each investment as H1 (defend and extend the core), H2 (build emerging businesses), or H3 (create options), splitting bets that straddle two horizons. - Horizon-matched evidence bars: Assigns hard ROI and stage-gates to H1, innovation accounting and build-measure-learn to H2, and thesis-and-watchlist reviews to H3. - Mix reporting: Sums bets by capital, attention, or count, compares against the Nagji & Tuff 70/20/10 benchmark, and flags the starved horizon. - Use Case: A leadership team brings six proposals to annual planning; the Skill produces a table tagging each bet with a horizon, time-to-impact estimate with confidence, and evidence bar, then reports a 78/17/5 mix and flags that H3 is starved. ## Quick Start Use the three-horizons skill to tag each bet in this investment portfolio as H1, H2, or H3 with the evidence bar and mix balance for each.

Frequently Asked Questions about three-horizons

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I apply the Three Horizons framework to an investment portfolio?▼

Tag each bet as H1 (defend the core), H2 (build emerging businesses), or H3 (create options), attach a time-to-impact estimate with confidence, and assign the matching evidence bar. Then sum the mix by capital, attention, or count and flag any starved horizon.

What evidence bar should H3 innovation bets meet?▼

H3 options need a thesis, named weak signals, and preserved optionality, reviewed through probes and a thesis-and-watchlist cadence. Applying H1's hard-ROI hurdle to an H3 bet kills it before it can teach anything.

Is the 70/20/10 innovation ratio part of The Alchemy of Growth?▼

No. The 70/20/10 core/adjacent/transformational allocation comes from Nagji and Tuff's 2012 Harvard Business Review article, not Baghai, Coley and White's 1999 book. It is a benchmark for comparison, not a target the Three Horizons framework prescribes.

When should I not use Three Horizons for a technology question?▼

Do not use it to place a single technology on a maturity curve; use evolution-stage or a hype-cycle assessment instead. It also does not fit single dated predictions, single-bet validation, or weighted-criteria choices between options.

What if one bet straddles two horizons?▼

Split the straddling bet into its named parts and tag each part with its own horizon rather than labeling it H2-H3. Refusing to choose is exactly the undeclared-portfolio problem the framework exists to stop.