superforecaster
CommunityWell-calibrated forecasts for uncertain questions
Authoragentydragon
Version1.0.0
Installs0
System Documentation
What problem does it solve?
Calibrate probability judgments in uncertain situations to improve decision-making by providing structured, evidence-based estimates rather than intuition alone.
Core Features & Use Cases
- Calibration framework based on superforecasting principles applied to a range of questions
- Question classification that adapts method to information availability and desired output
- Output formats include probability estimates, confidence intervals, and scenario trajectories
Quick Start
Ask a probabilistic question in clear terms and the skill will return a calibrated forecast.
Dependency Matrix
Required Modules
None requiredComponents
Standard package💻 Claude Code Installation
Recommended: Let Claude install automatically. Simply copy and paste the text below to Claude Code.
Please help me install this Skill: Name: superforecaster Download link: https://github.com/agentydragon/ducktape/archive/main.zip#superforecaster Please download this .zip file, extract it, and install it in the .claude/skills/ directory.
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