What problem does it solve? Investment research reports require a structured risk analysis (Part XII) and scenario analysis (Part XIII), but manually consolidating financial, valuation, technical, and macro findings into a consistent risk register and scenario framework is slow and error-prone. This Skill automates that synthesis step inside the invest-research harness workspace. ## Core Features & Use Cases - Risk Register Generation: Classifies company-specific, industry, financial, market, and policy/regulatory risks by likelihood and impact, with monitoring indicators and evidence citations. - Bear/Base/Bull Scenario Analysis: Builds probability-weighted scenarios with earnings assumptions, valuation assumptions, price ranges, and trigger events linked to prior analyst findings. - Dependency-Aware Partial Fan-In: Starts as soon as its declared required artifacts (financial summary, valuation range, macro key risks) are ready, without waiting for all upstream analysts. - Evidence Ledger Emission: Appends every collected evidence item to both a human-readable ledger and a JSONL ledger using RIS-prefixed IDs, with append-only supersede rules. - Use Case: After financial, valuation, and macro analysts finish their findings for a ticker like CSTM, run this Skill to produce 06_risk_scenario/findings.md and conflicts.md for the report synthesizer. ## Quick Start Run the risk-scenario-analyst on the current workspace to produce the Part XII risk analysis and Part XIII Bear/Base/Bull scenario analysis in 06_risk_scenario/findings.md.
