regime-scenario-analyst

Classify cross-asset market regimes and build evidence-based scenario branches for institutional equities desks.

Updated Dec 20, 2025
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/koala-man-64/helpful-scripts --skill regime-scenario-analyst-koala-man-64
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent▼
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Skill: regime-scenario-analyst
Source: https://github.com/koala-man-64/helpful-scripts/tree/main/exports/codex-skills/repo-local/regime-scenario-analyst
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/koala-man-64/helpful-scripts --skill regime-scenario-analyst-koala-man-64

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

💡 This Skill includes references (resource) components.

What problem does it solve? Institutional trading teams need consistent, evidence-grounded market regime classification instead of narrative macro storytelling, price predictions, or ad-hoc trade ideas when assessing risk posture. ## Core Features & Use Cases - Regime Classification: Assigns one of four verdicts (Normal, Fragile, Transition, Stressed) based on volatility, breadth, rates, credit, liquidity, correlation, and trend behavior. - Scenario Branching: Builds plausible macro, policy, volatility, or liquidity scenario branches with catalysts, implications, and invalidation triggers, without invented probabilities. - Structured Output: Enforces a mandatory nine-section response structure plus a 1-to-5 scorecard covering regime confidence, transition risk, liquidity stress, cross-asset coherence, and scenario coverage. - Use Case: A strategist receives mixed signals—narrow breadth, rising volatility, stable credit—and uses this Skill to produce a Fragile verdict with transition triggers and explicit handoffs to risk and catalyst-monitoring agents. ## Quick Start Use the regime-scenario-analyst skill to classify the current market regime from the supplied volatility, breadth, rates, and credit data and outline the key scenario branches.

Frequently Asked Questions about regime-scenario-analyst

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I classify the current market regime with this Skill?▼

Supply market data covering volatility, breadth, rates, credit, liquidity, correlation, and trend behavior. The Skill returns a verdict of Normal, Fragile, Transition, or Stressed, followed by supporting evidence, scenario branches, and a scorecard.

What inputs does a market regime analysis need?▼

Expected inputs include market data, volatility and breadth measures, cross-asset performance, rates and credit behavior, liquidity indicators, macro events, internal strategy performance, and factor and sector behavior. Missing inputs are listed only if they would change the call.

Does the regime analyst generate trade ideas or price targets?▼

No. The Skill explicitly avoids trade recommendations and exact price prediction. It explains what tends to work or fail at the strategy and exposure level, keeping the focus on conditions, implications, and early warning signals.

What is the difference between Fragile and Transition regime verdicts?▼

Fragile means markets still function but show vulnerability such as narrowing breadth or thinning liquidity. Transition means the prior regime is breaking down with mixed or contradictory signals, but the new regime is not yet confirmed.

When should I not use a regime classification approach?▼

Avoid it when you need single-asset trade signals, precise price forecasts, or quantitative backtesting. The Skill is designed for cross-asset condition assessment and scenario framing, not execution-level decision making.