MonteCarlo

Run 10,000 Monte Carlo scenarios on Fidelity CSV portfolio data and output JSON, CSV, and Excel results.

317|108|Updated Oct 18, 2025
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru --skill montecarlo
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent▼
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: MonteCarlo
Source: https://github.com/AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru/tree/main/.claude/skills/MonteCarlo
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/AojdevStudio/Finance-Guru --skill montecarlo

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve?

Monte Carlo simulations provide a probabilistic view of portfolio outcomes across a four-layer strategy, enabling you to quantify income probability, margin safety, and risk under uncertainty.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Auto-detect current values from Fidelity CSV exports (Portfolio_Positions_*.csv) to initialize the model.
  • Run 10,000 market scenarios across Growth, Income, Hedge, and GOOGL layers to project distributions of value and income.
  • Generate outputs including JSON summaries, full scenario CSVs, and Excel analyses for stakeholder review.

Quick Start

Invoke the RunSimulation workflow to auto-detect current values from Fidelity CSV and run the 10,000-scenario Monte Carlo model.

Frequently Asked Questions about MonteCarlo

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I run Monte Carlo simulations on my Fidelity portfolio CSV exports?▼

To run Monte Carlo simulations on Fidelity portfolio CSV exports, invoke the RunSimulation workflow to auto-detect current values from Portfolio_Positions_*.csv files. The model then projects 10,000 market scenarios across Growth, Income, Hedge, and GOOGL layers, outputting JSON summaries, full scenario CSVs, and Excel analyses.

Can I evaluate margin safety and income probability using Monte Carlo simulations?▼

Yes, you can evaluate margin safety and income probability using Monte Carlo simulations. The Skill projects 10,000 market scenarios across your portfolio layers to quantify risk under uncertainty, generating date-stamped JSON summaries and Excel analyses that detail income distributions and margin stress tests.

What is the best way to forecast portfolio risk across multiple asset layers?▼

The best way to forecast portfolio risk across multiple asset layers is running a 10,000-scenario Monte Carlo simulation. This Skill projects outcomes across Growth, Income, Hedge, and GOOGL layers, providing probabilistic distributions of value and income to quantify risk under uncertainty.

Do I need a specific CSV format to initialize portfolio risk simulations?▼

Yes, you need Fidelity CSV exports to initialize portfolio risk simulations. The Skill auto-detects current values specifically from Portfolio_Positions_*.csv files to set up the 10,000-scenario Monte Carlo model across your Growth, Income, Hedge, and GOOGL portfolio layers.

What outputs does the Monte Carlo portfolio simulation generate for stakeholder review?▼

The Monte Carlo portfolio simulation generates JSON summaries, full results CSVs, and Excel analyses for stakeholder review. All outputs are date-stamped for traceability, detailing projected distributions of value, income probabilities, and margin safety across 10,000 market scenarios.

When should I use Monte Carlo simulation instead of static portfolio forecasting?▼

You should use Monte Carlo simulation instead of static portfolio forecasting when you need a probabilistic view of portfolio outcomes under uncertainty. It projects 10,000 market scenarios across multiple asset layers to quantify income probability, margin safety, and risk distributions.