macro

Identify macro regimes and construct four-scenario trade tickets with IS-LM checks.

2|Updated Mar 26, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/tmcga/alpha-stack --skill macro
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent▼
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: macro
Source: https://github.com/tmcga/alpha-stack/tree/main/skills/macro
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/tmcga/alpha-stack --skill macro

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve?

Frame a structured, falsifiable macro thesis and translate it into actionable cross-asset trade ideas by identifying regimes, testing scenarios, and checking IS-LM consistency.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Regime identification across growth, inflation, and policy dimensions to map to a macro regime.
  • Scenario tree construction with base, bull, bear, and tail cases and scenario-weighted P&L mapping.
  • Central bank and balance-sheet analysis to uncover mispricing in rate paths and policy signals.
  • Cross-asset trade expression: rates, FX, equities, and commodities expressed through a single, testable thesis.

Quick Start

Build a top-down macro view for a country over the next 12 months, identify the regime with at least three supporting indicators, construct a four-scenario tree, and outline a trade ticket.

Frequently Asked Questions about macro

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I build a falsifiable macro thesis for cross-asset trading?▼

Construct a macro trade thesis by identifying the current growth, inflation, and policy regime with at least three supporting indicators. You then build a four-scenario tree with probability weights and translate the view into a testable cross-asset trade ticket.

What is a macro regime and how does it drive rates, FX, and equity trades?▼

A macro regime is the current state of growth, inflation, and policy stance for a specified country. Identifying this regime maps directly to cross-asset implications, allowing you to quantify directional biases for rates, FX, equities, and commodities within a single thesis.

How do I map a base, bull, bear, and tail scenario tree for portfolio analysis?▼

Map a scenario tree by assigning probability weights to base, bull, bear, and tail cases for your specified country. This scenario-weighted approach quantifies cross-asset P&L implications and produces a structured exit framework for your portfolio trades.

Does this macro analysis approach include IS-LM consistency checks?▼

Yes, the macro analysis includes IS-LM consistency checks to validate the internal logic of your growth and policy stance assumptions. This ensures your central bank balance-sheet analysis and rate path mispricing theories align before generating a trade ticket.

Can I use this framework to analyze central bank policy and rate path mispricing?▼

Yes, you can analyze central bank policy and balance sheets to uncover mispricing in rate paths. The framework integrates these policy signals with your identified macro regime to formulate actionable cross-asset trade expressions across rates and FX.

When should I not use a top-down macro regime framework for trading?▼

Avoid using a top-down macro regime framework when you need high-frequency intraday signals or lack sufficient macroeconomic data to establish at least three supporting indicators. The approach is designed for 12-month structured cross-asset theses rather than short-term tactical scalping.