integrity-signal-confidence

What problem does it solve?

Misrepresenting certainty (either overconfidence or excessive hedging) erodes trust and makes it difficult for readers to accurately assess the reliability of information, leading to misguided decisions.

Core Features & Use Cases

• Evidence Strength Assessment: Evaluates claims based on direct observation, documented fact, reliable inference, or speculation.
• Language Calibration: Matches certainty language ("definitely," "likely," "possibly") to the strength of the underlying evidence.
• False Certainty Downgrade: Corrects absolute language used for inferred, assumed, or outdated information.
• Informative Uncertainty: Expresses what's unknown in ways that clarify what is known and what would resolve the uncertainty.
• Use Case: When providing a technical recommendation, use this Skill to clearly distinguish between confirmed facts, strong inferences, and speculative possibilities, allowing decision-makers to calibrate their trust accurately.

Quick Start

Review this technical report and adjust the confidence language to accurately reflect the strength of the evidence for each claim.