forecasting-tools

What problem does it solve?

Engaging with forecasting platforms like Metaculus, building prediction models, and conducting structured research can be time-consuming and manual. This Skill provides a comprehensive toolkit to automate these processes, from fetching questions to posting predictions and backtesting strategies, allowing you to focus on strategic insights.

Core Features & Use Cases

• Metaculus Integration: Programmatically fetch questions, filter by type or status, and post predictions to Metaculus, streamlining your forecasting workflow.
• Automated Forecasting Bots: Deploy TemplateBot to research questions, generate predictions, and manage forecasting workflows, freeing you from manual oversight.
• AI-Powered Research: Utilize SmartSearcher for cited web research and specialized agents (e.g., KeyFactorsResearcher) to inform predictions, enhancing accuracy and efficiency.
• Use Case: Set up a bot to automatically monitor new questions in a Metaculus tournament, conduct research using AI, and post predictions, ensuring you never miss an opportunity to contribute.

Quick Start

Use the forecasting-tools skill to find all open binary questions in the current Metaculus Quarterly Cup and list their titles.