data-science-causal-inference

Applies causal inference methods like Difference-in-Differences, Synthetic Control, and CUPED to quasi-experimental data.

1|Updated Jun 29, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/coreyone/software-maestro --skill data-science-causal-inference-coreyone
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Skill: data-science-causal-inference
Source: https://github.com/coreyone/software-maestro/tree/main/data-and-api/data-science-causal-inference
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/coreyone/software-maestro --skill data-science-causal-inference-coreyone

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

💡 This Skill includes references (resource) components.

What problem does it solve? Standard randomized A/B tests are often impossible due to market-level rollouts, network spillovers, or ethical constraints, leaving teams unable to measure the true causal impact of product and policy changes. ## Core Features & Use Cases - Quasi-Experimental Identification: Selects and applies the correct causal method—Difference-in-Differences, Synthetic Control, Regression Discontinuity, Instrumental Variables, or Propensity Score Matching—based on your data structure. - CUPED Variance Reduction: Uses pre-experiment covariates to reduce metric variance and increase statistical power in randomized experiments. - Assumption Verification & Robustness: Validates parallel trends, donor pool weights, and running variable continuity, then runs placebo tests and sensitivity analyses (Oster's delta, Rosenbaum bounds). - Use Case: You launched a pricing policy in three test cities and need to measure its causal effect on conversion. The skill designs a Synthetic Control analysis with a donor pool, placebo permutation tests, and confidence intervals translated into business terms. ## Quick Start Ask the agent to design a difference-in-differences or synthetic control analysis for your market-level rollout, providing the intervention context, outcome metric, and historical baseline data.

Frequently Asked Questions about data-science-causal-inference

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I measure causal impact without an A/B test?▼

Use quasi-experimental methods like Difference-in-Differences for panel data across markets, Synthetic Control for a single treated unit against a donor pool, or Regression Discontinuity when treatment follows a deterministic cutoff. Each method requires verifying its identifying assumptions before trusting the estimate.

What is the difference between Difference-in-Differences and Synthetic Control?▼

Difference-in-Differences compares outcome trends between treated and control groups over time and requires parallel trends. Synthetic Control builds a weighted combination of untreated donor units to match the treated unit's pre-intervention trajectory, making it better for a single treated market or city.

How does CUPED reduce experiment variance?▼

CUPED adjusts the outcome metric using pre-experiment covariates via theta = Cov(Y,X)/Var(X), reducing variance by a factor of (1 - rho squared). With a correlation of 0.75, variance drops over 56 percent, letting experiments reach significance with smaller samples or shorter durations.

When should I use regression discontinuity design?▼

Use RDD when treatment assignment follows a deterministic threshold, such as a loyalty points cutoff or credit score boundary. You must verify the running variable density is smooth at the cutoff with a McCrary test and select bandwidth using the CCT optimal method.

Why is two-way fixed effects DiD problematic for staggered rollouts?▼

Canonical two-way fixed effects produces negative weighting and biased estimates when treatment timing is staggered across units. Use Callaway and Sant'Anna group-time average treatment effects with never-treated or not-yet-treated controls instead.

When should I not use causal inference methods?▼

Do not use quasi-experimental methods for standard randomized A/B test sample sizing, client-side event tracking design, or application performance log analysis. Those scenarios route to experimentation, analytics tracking, or observability workflows instead.